Friday, November 2

Multiplication Rule for Independent Events

Multiplication Rule for Independent Events

Probability is the likelihood of the occurrence of an event. An event is a one or more possible outcomes of a certain experiment. An event is called independent event if one event does not affect the other event. For example, choosing a 7 and 8 in the deck of card with replacement is two independent events. An event consisting of more than one simple event is called compound event.

Multiplication rule for two independent events:

If A and B are two independent event then; P(A and B) = P(A) · P(B)

Multiplication rule for three independent events:

If A, B, and B are three independent events then; P(A and B and C) = P(A) · P(B) · P(C)

Multiplication Rule for Independent Events - Example Problems

Example 1: Two coins are drawn at one by one with replacement of previous coin in a bag of 12 nickels and  9 quarters. Find the probability of first coin is nickels and second coin is quarters.

Solution:

Lest S be the sample space, n(S) = 12 + 9 = 21

A be the event of drawing a nickels, n(A) = 12

B be the event of drawing a quarters, n(B) = 9

P(A) = `(n(A))/(n(S))` = `12/21` = `4/7`

P(B) = `(n(B))/(n(S))` = `9/21 ` = `3/7`

P(A and B) = P(A) · P(B) = `4/7` · `3/7` = `12/49`

P(A and B) = `12/49`

Example 2: A jar contains 6 dark, 8 milk, and 10 white chocolates. Three chocolates are drawn one by one with replacement. What is the probability of drawing each kind is one time?

Solution:

Lest S be the sample space, n(S) = 6 + 8 + 10 = 24

A be the event of drawing a dark chocolate, n(A) = 6

B be the event of drawing a milk chocolate, n(B) = 8

C be the event of drawing a white chocolate, n(B) = 10

P(A) = `(n(A))/(n(S))` = `6/24` = `1/4`

P(B) = `(n(B))/(n(S))` = `8/24` = `1/3`

P(C) = `(n(C))/(n(S))` = `10/24` = `5/12`

P(A and B and C) = P(A) · P(B) · P(C) = `1/4` · `1/3` · `1/12` = `1/144`

P(A and B and C) = `1/144`
I am planning to write more post on solving complex rational expressions, geometric probability formula. Keep checking my blog.
Multiplication Rule for Independent Events - Practice Problems

Problem 1:   Two chocolates are drawn one by one with replacement of previous chocolate in a jar of 10 bitter and  5 dark chocolates. Find the probability of first one is bitter and dark chocolate.

Problem 2: A jar contains 11 dark, 12 milk, and 13 white chocolates. Three chocolates are drawn one by one with replacement.What is the probability of drawing each kind exactly one time.

Answer: 1) `2/9` 2) `143/3888`

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